According to the latest weather data, there is an almost 100% chance that the current El Niño will continue until February 2027. Experts say a stronger El Niño can cause significant shifts in rainfall and temperature patterns across different regions.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has estimated a 69% chance that the current El Niño could become the strongest recorded in the past 70 years.
The phenomenon officially developed in June and, according to the World Meteorological Organization, is expected to persist through the autumn and winter, with its intensity potentially peaking toward the end of the year.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned that rising ocean and global temperatures are pushing the world into increasingly dangerous weather conditions. He stressed the need for effective climate action to protect communities from growing risks.
WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo also warned that the world is already witnessing destructive droughts and floods, with the impacts potentially becoming more severe as El Niño strengthens.
In North America, El Niño typically brings increased rainfall to southern areas, milder temperatures in the north and relatively calmer hurricane conditions in the Atlantic. Experts expect its effects in the United States to become more noticeable during autumn and intensify through the winter.